Stocks to buy this week

.Shares of the following companies may have unusual moves in U.S. trading tomorrow. Stock symbols are in parentheses.

You Have More Than You Think: The Motley Fool Investment Guide To Investing What You Have


Boeing Co. (BA) : The world’s second-largest maker of commercial aircraft may rise 35 percent within the next two years as its order cycle picks up and the 787 Dreamliner comes off the production line, Barron’s reported.



Citizens South Banking Corp. (CSBC US): The Gastonia, North Carolina-based lender agreed to assume the deposits of New Horizons Bank after the East Ellijay, Georgia-based company was closed by regulators, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. said.



Gap Inc. (GPS) : The largest U.S. apparel chain has “ample firepower” to buy back shares, Barron’s said in its “The Trader” column.



Johnson & Johnson (JNJ US): The world’s largest health products company may buy Synthes Inc. (SYST VX), the biggest maker of devices to treat bone fractures and trauma, as it seeks to boost flagging sales at its orthopedic division, according to a person briefed on the discussions who spoke on condition of anonymity because the talks are private.



Papa John’s International Inc. (PZZA US): The pizza maker that announced on Feb. 28 that Chief Financial Officer David Flanery would retire and be succeeded by Lance Tucker said J. Jude Thompson resigned as president and co-chief executive officer to pursue other opportunities.



Park National Corp. (PRK US): The Newark, Ohio-based banking company reported first-quarter earnings excluding some items of $1.29 a share, beating the average analyst estimate by 32 percent, Bloomberg data show.



Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM) : The maker of processors for mobile phones may rebound on its smartphone and tablet growth outlook if the disruptions caused by Japan’s earthquake and tsunami are temporary, Barron’s said in its “The Trader” column.



Research in Motion Ltd. (RIM) : The maker of the BlackBerry smartphone may double as the company introduces products including its Playbook tablet and new mobile phones, Barron’s reported. The company may also attract takeover offers, Barron’s said, without citing anyone.


by
To contact the reporters on this story: Stephen K.  at skleege@bloomberg.net

Top March 2009 Stock Picks ! ( Family Dollar Stores & Allos Therapeutics

1. ALTH 5.84 a share Target price 12.00 by 12/09

Allos Therapeutics, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company that is focused on developing and commercializing small molecule drugs for the treatment of cancer. The Company’s lead product candidate, PDX (pralatrexate) an antifolate is in Phase 2 trial in patients with relapsed or refractory peripheral T-cell lymphoma. The Company is also investigating PDX in patients with non-small cell lung cancer and a range of other lymphoma sub-types. The Company’s other product candidate is RH1, a targeted chemotherapeutic agent, which is in a Phase 1 trial in patients with advanced solid tumors or non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma.
No doubt the market has cost investors a lot of money over the past year and a half. The image of people too afraid to open their 401(k) statements has become cliché. And the common wisdom says that years will pass before those losses are recovered.
But that’s not necessarily the case. Speculating on the right stocks could generate sizable returns, enough to fill some of the holes this recession has poked in your portfolio. That’s one of the reasons that Cramer’s a fan of calculated risk taking. The potential payoff is significant. Speculation’s also a way to keep things interesting. Instead of banking with the usual suspects – maybe Coca-Cola
[KO 40.85 -0.22 (-0.54%) ]
Johnson & Johnson
[JNJ 50.00 -2.44 (-4.65%) ]
[AAPL 89.31 0.12 (+0.13%) ]
– investors can put their money in a small up-and-comer.
So who’s the latest Mad Money Spec Friday pick? Allos Therapeutics
[ALTH 5.64 -0.42 (-6.93%) ]
, a biotech with a $5.64 share price and a market cap of under $500 million. Like all speculation plays, Allos has a catalyst – the probable Food & Drug Administration approval of its cancer drug – that should send the stock higher.
Allos makes an orphan drug called Pralatrexate, or PDX, used to treat peripheral T-cell lymphoma, a fast-spreading cancer that affects white blood cells. Remember an orphan drug is one that treats a very rare condition. So the FDA usually fast tracks approval, the company gets exclusivity rights to the drug, and the sales usually bring in big, big money.
Exclusivity or not, though, PDX is the only treatment for peripheral T-cell lymphoma, so there’s no competition here anyway. President Obama’s plan for Medicare, where the government will negotiate bulk drug prices directly with pharmaceutical companies, could hurt those with similar treatments, but not Allos. And orphan drugs in Europe, where the government already negotiates prices, usually cost the same as, if not more than, those in the U.S. Besides, PDX has been proven to extend patients’ lives. Don’t expect the White House to put a price on that.
On Feb. 4, Allos released data that showed patients who had previously not responded to treatment were responding to PDX, and for longer than expected. The stock popped as a result, and then the market’s decline took ALTH back down. Now ALTH is two points below where it was before the data release, giving investors a great entry point.
Cramer expects Allos to file for final FDA approval by the end of June, which means the drug could be on the market by year’s end. Worst-case scenario, analysts have said, PDX is available to the public by 2010. Sales for the drug could reach as high as $400 million a year, with the chance for even better numbers given PDX’s potential for off-label uses, much like Genentech’s
[DNA 85.55 -1.93 (-2.21%) ]",

Avastin. PDX is more potent than other chemotherapy drugs, so there’s a good chance it could treat other cancers.
Allos makes a great takeover target as well. The company’s a natural fit for any big-time firm with a blood cancer franchise, such as Celgene
got a bid.
Allos reports Tuesday, March 3, so Cramer cautioned against buying before then. The company has no sales yet, so management offer clues as to whether the company’s still on track and possibly even date-release dates on the horizon.
ALTH is a buy at $6, Cramer said, but no more. At $7, the deal doesn’t work. Investors who want in should remember to be patient and use limit orders.



2. FDO 27.44 A SHARE AS OF 3/1 , TARGET PRICE 41.00 by 9/09

Family Dollar Stores, Inc. operates a chain of more than 6,500 general merchandise retail discount stores in 44 states, providing consumers with a selection of merchandise in neighborhood stores. The Company’s merchandise assortment includes consumables, home products, apparel and accessories, and seasonal and electronics. The Company’s products include apparel, food, cleaning and paper products, home decor, beauty and health aids, toys, pet products, automotive products, domestics, seasonal goods and electronics. With a Dividend of .14 a share , is a great buy in this market !In the same boat as Wal-Mart, discount retailers are the some of the few companies showed success in 2008. FDO's stock price gained 36% in 2008.Recession time will prompt more people to go to the dollar stores to $ave MONEY!!!! Due to people needing to cut back, people are going to eventually go from Walmart to Family Dollar as both are in the same merchant category and serve much the same purpose, but Family Dollar seems to undercut Walmart's prices for many items... but does so at a cost: lack of the wide range of products that Walmart does, but from what I've seen, this doesn't effect business one bit.Not bad on debt, fairly good P/E. I'm seeing a lot more "recession fashion" and how-to's on living more cheaply....this company is made for these times.I do about 75% of my regular shopping there (condiments, small food, bread, milk, some clothes.) The stores should do well in hard times.family Dollar Stores . . . need I say more?

S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats: Past, Present and Future

The S&P 500 Index includes some of the biggest and best known companies in the world and most pay dividends. A few years ago, S&P wanted to pull out those with the best track records for not only paying dividends, but increasing dividends over the years. They set a tough standard to filter out the best. Each company was required to have a minimum of 25 consecutive years of paying higher dividends. While the number of companies fluctuate a little from year to year, about 60 (roughly 11%) are currently S&P Dividend Aristocrats. Most have track records of 30, 40 or even 50+ consecutive years of paying higher dividends annually.

Since each company has an outstanding long term track record of paying dividends, this group can be used to obtain investment ideas. Such help is more important than ever after the pummeling virtually all stocks have taken in recent months.

However, care is always needed when selecting investments, even in this elite group, Of the seven banks in the group in 2005, only two remain. The most famous was Bank of America (BAC), which bragged in annual reports about its track record of raising dividends over the prior 30 years. Last year in Q3, instead of increasing the dividend, BAC merely mentioned declaring a regular dividend. In Q4, the dividend was cut in half. This year, on greater fears about the company and its dividend, sellers took the stock into single digits. The fears proved correct when BAC just cut their quarterly dividend to only one penny.

A few other companies have had their streak of higher dividends come to an end, but their numbers have been limited. One example, ConAgra (CAG), cut the dividend a couple of years ago. However, the stock has not sold off as badly as others in the recent market decline.

A few stocks in the group are facing difficulties. The most prominent is General Electric (GE), selling at a 15 year low. After recent problems in its businesses, especially the financial ones, General Electric has been talking about only maintaining the dividend, not increasing it. Earnings will be reported later this week. Fears of dismal earnings have caused the stock to sell off to under 14.

Pfizer (PFE) and Eli Lilly (LLY) are drug companies facing patent expiration on important drugs shortly, which could impair their ability to increase dividends. Masco (MAS) may see its 50 year track record of higher dividends come to an end in 2009 as their business selling to the housing industry is not earning the dividend. These companies have extraordinary yields of 6-9%, reflecting doubts about future.

But most companies have healthy balance sheets and good cash flows with excellent track records for increasing dividends. Just a few of the big names in the group that I like for no particular reason include:

3M (MMM)
Coca Cola (KO)
Exxon Mobil (XOM)
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
Kimberley-Clark (KMB)
McDonald's (MCD)
McGraw-Hill (MHP)
Procter & Gamble (PG)
Stanley Works (SWK)
VF Corp (VFC)
Walgreen (WAG)
Wal-Mart (WMT)
The recent fall in the stock market reinforces the age old advice "investigate before you invest," even for this very special group. The strong should survive and thrive over the long term. For example, I bought KO for my IRS 15 years ago. The stock has more than doubled the original price and reinvested dividends bring the total investment to almost triple. Almost 10 years ago I bought VFC which, again, has doubled the original price with reinvested dividends, bringing the total to almost triple. And today's valuations are held back because they are based on depressed market prices. Let Dividend Aristocrats provide helpful investment ideas for very smart investing.

Avi Morris

http://www.verysmartinvesting.blogspot.com/

Jim Cramer Lighting Round Stock Picks

Mad Money Recap

Segment 1: The Obama Accountability Index
Cramer said that things were much better today than they were yesterday with IBM (IBM), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Abbott Labs (ABT), Forest Labs (FRX), Northern Trust (NTRS), and PNC (PNC) all reporting good earnings today, Wal-Mart (WMT) reporting good numbers, mineral plays announcing that they are cutting back on production, which is good for stocks like Freeport McMoran (FCX), and Apple (AAPL) and Research in Motion (RIMM) reporting good sales as well. Cramer said that the high yielding stocks are back at the lows that they bounced off of in November, and that they will bounce back again.
However, said many of the financials are still weighing us down, like Citigroup (C) and Bank of America (BAC). As long as they don't go under, the stock indexes should be OK.
Cramer thinks Obama needs to save the good banks like J.P. Morgan (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) from the bad ones like C and BAC. He added that the bonds and preferred stock of C and BAC need to be preserved, because if they go down, investors will be even more afraid of the financials. To track Obama's performance, Cramer created an index of 6 Dow stocks, made up of Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), Caterpillar (CAT), General Electric (GE), General Motors (GM), and J.P. Morgan (JPM). It will start at a value of 100 as of the closing price at the end of today, and all the stocks have an equal weight. They were picked because it includes good and bad banks, a test of the infrastructure stimulus, the auto sector, and a large conglomerate that represents a large section of the overall economy.

Segment 2: Dow All Stars Review
In the first week of 2009, Cramer recommended Verizon (VZ), Caterpillar (CAT), Hewlett Packard (HPQ), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Home Depot (HD), and he wanted to review how they did after the big drop in the market recently. His group is down 3%, which isn't great, but is better than the Dow and S&P 500, which are down 8% and 9% respectively. He thinks this is good news because they should go up more than the index when times get better, plus they all have a yield over 3%, except HP. He still likes HP because they have great management, recently made a smart acquisition of EDS, and is beating their printer competition. Cramer is still bullish on Verizon because of its high yield, good CEO, and strong Blackberry Storm and FiOS sales. He also still likes J&J because it is a good defensive play and a strong balance sheet. Cramer is bullish on CAT because of its accidentially high yield and because it is in position to benefit from the U.S. and Chinese infrastructure stimulus plans. He is also still bullish on Home Depot because he thinks housing will bottom in about 5 months, and people will begin making home improvements then.

Segment 3: Interview with Google (GOOG) CEO Eric Schmidt
Cramer talked to Schmidt about his experience on Obama's transition team, and his ideas to reduce unemployment. He didn't make any stock picks in this segment.

Segment 4: Lightning Round!
Zions Bancorp (ZION): Cramer won't recommend any regional bank right now, so he gave it a "Don't buy".
CME Group (CME): Cramer would rather own NYSE Euronext (NYX) because it has a higher yield, or Ameritrade (AMTD) or Charles Schwab (SCHW).
Electronic Arts (ERTS): Cramer is bearish because it is not cheap right now, and the company doesn't have any momentum.
Barclays (BCS): Cramer is bearish because he thinks it is in serious trouble.
Huntsman (HUN): Cramer thinks it is too risky and recommended PPG (PPG) instead.
CBS (CBS): Cramer is bearish because media companies have not been doing well, and the ownership structure of CBS is unusual.

Segment 5: Quiz Cramer
Cramer had a live audience for the show today, and he took general questions but didn't make any stock picks.

My Best Stock Picks For 2009

1. Lowe's Companies ( LOW ) 21.52 a share 1/1/2009 Target price 35.00 a share.
Lowe’s Companies, Inc. is a home improvement retailer, with specific emphasis on retail do-it-yourself (DIY) customers, do-it-for-me (DIFM) customers, who utilize its installation services, and commercial business customers. The Company offers a line of products and services for home decorating, maintenance, repair, remodeling and property maintenance. As of February 1, 2008, it operated 1,534 stores in 50 states and Canada, with 174 million square feet of retail selling space. Lowe’s Companies, Inc. serves homeowners, renters and commercial business customers. Homeowners and renters primarily consist of do-it-yourselves, and others buying for personal and family use. Commercial business customers include repair and remodeling contractors, electricians, landscapers, painters, plumbers, and commercial and residential property maintenance professionals, among others . The latest existing home sales report from the National Association of Realtors showed an increase of 3.1% over the previous month with sales rising to about 5 million units a year annualized. When the last twelve months of data is plotted, there’s a clear bottoming pattern being formed. The report also shows home prices continuing to fall and the inventory of unsold homes increasing. That’s bad news for sellers but good news for buyers since the increasing inventory should continue to put pressure on prices. The AP release listed on MSNBC.com includes this additional information, “Between 33 and 40 percent of sales activity is coming from foreclosures or other distressed properties, estimated Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the Realtors group.” If existing home sales have bottomed, it should be good news for home improvement retailers Home Depot (HD) and Lowes (LOW). The high percentage of sales coming from foreclosures should also be a positive for their business. I haven’t found any data to back this up, but it’s logical that on average a foreclosed home will need more repairs than an owner-to-owner purchase. Granted, logic doesn’t necessarily apply to the stock market.Both companies are profitable even in the current soft housing market. Valuations are similar with both companies trading at about 15.5 times the next 12 months earnings. Cramer did a head-to-head between HD and LOW on Wednesday’s Mad Money and concluded LOW was the better bargain primarily because of better growth prospects. One key difference between the companies is the dividend. HD yields about 3.3% vs about 1.4% for LOW. Obviously, Lowe’s has a much lower payout ratio so more of its earnings are available to invest in expansion. If home sales have bottomed, LOW and HD sales traffic should start increasing, particularly with a high percentage of sales and housing inventory coming from foreclosures. Both companies should benefit from easy same-store-sales comparisons going forward. Analysts’ earnings estimates for both companies have been lowered over the past 90 days. I think that’s a mistake. Cramer based his opinion of the two stocks partly on his prediction that new home sales will start improving late next year. I suspect many analysts are also considering new home sales for their models. They may be overlooking stabilizing and improving existing home sales volume (not necessarily prices) providing a lift to home improvement centers. I believe LOW is a slightly better buy than HD based on better growth prospects and a lower debt ratio. The higher dividend makes HD attractive to income investors and should provide more support to the share price if the thesis is wrong; the dividend is comfortably covered so there isn’t much chance of a cut. If stabilizing home sales drive an increase in traffic, both companies should benefit.Two words CUSTOMER SERVICE! Although HD is geographically closer to my home, I prefer Lowes. The product mix and prices are similar but, Lowes has people that can answer questions and assist the customer, and they even have humans at the cash registers.Cash on hand and cash flow can handle required debt payments. People will continue to maintain and improve their homes as they spend less on other non-essentials .

2. The Kroger Co. ( KR ) 26.25 a share 1/1/2009 , Target price 39.00.
The Kroger Co. is a retailer in the United States. The Company also manufactures and processes some of the food for sale in its supermarkets. As of February 2, 2008, the Company operated, either directly or through its subsidiaries, 2,486 supermarkets and multi-department stores, 696 of which had fuel centers. Approximately 43% of these supermarkets were operated in Company-owned facilities, including some Company-owned buildings on leased land. It operates retail food and drug stores, multi-department stores, jewelry stores, and convenience stores throughout the United States. The Company operated 42 manufacturing plants, primarily bakeries and dairies, which supply approximately 43% of the corporate brand units sold in the retail outlets. Ultra-solid grocer with a strong private brand and good real estate management.
Safe harbor.If you paid attention when you were shopping you've noticed the sharp jump in grocery prices that coincided with the rise in fuel prices. Now that fuel prices have fallen, it is equally as noticeable that the price of groceries and consumer goods hasn't. This means higher profits for Grocery stores in the near term. With an uncertain economy and high gas prices, consumers are pinching pennies wherever they can, and that includes doing things like buying Kroger brand soup or Kroger brand milk instead of Campbell's Soup or Trauth milk. This penny pinching will continue into the foreseeable future because shoppers aren't going to pay higher prices when they can get the same thing for less. This is a definite buy for 2009 .

3. AeroVironment 36.80 a share 1/1/2009 , Target price 49.00.
AeroVironment, Inc. (AeroVironment) designs, develops, produces and supports a portfolio of small unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) that it supplies primarily to organizations within the United States Department of Defense (DoD), and fast charge systems for electric industrial vehicle batteries that it supplies to commercial customers. AeroVironment derives the majority of its revenue from these two business areas. The Company's core technological capabilities include lightweight aerostructures and electric propulsion systems, electric energy systems and storage, high-density energy packaging, miniaturization, controls integration and systems engineering optimization. The Company is organized into two segments: UAS and Efficient Energy Systems, which focuses primarily on the development of electric energy technologies for internal and external customers, and also develops, produces and supports a line of electronic test equipment used for research and development activities.With cuts in defense spending likely, drones offer a cheaper alternative to full sized aircraft.I've been watching this stock go up since its IPO opening , and there is a little downturn now. With their drone business, Aerovironment is a good candidate for a buyout by the big boys. Drones are not going away -- the local air national guard changed to drones, and the Air Force secretary was fired for his slow adoption of the technology.

4. PowerShares Water Resources (ETF) ( PHO ) 14.39 a share 1/1/2009 target price 19.75
PowerShares Water Resources Portfolio (the Fund) seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield of the equity index, the Palisades Water Index (the Index). The Index seeks to identify a group of companies that focus on the provision of potable water, the treatment of water, and the technology and services that are directly related to water consumption. The Index includes United States exchange traded companies drawn from water sectors, such as water utilities, treatment, analytical, infrastructure, water resource management and multi business.water - can't replace it can't get enough of it, enough said .world is going to get hungry due to a larger stomach and of course we will need water to wash it all down not to mention grow everything we eat in the first place. 1% of the worlds water is drinkable and our demand for that water double every 6-8yrs.With Obama's new public works stimulus should include some spending towards the aging water infrastructure, and this sector would definitely benefit from that !

5. Amazon.com ( AMZN ) 51.13 a share , target price 76.00
Amazon.com, Inc. (Amazon.com) operates retail Websites, which enables its consumer customers to find and discover anything they might want to buy online. The Company’s retail Websites include www.amazon.de, www.amazon.fr, www.amazon.co.jp, www.amazon.co.uk and the Joyo Amazon Websites at www.joyo.cn and www.amazon.cn. Amazon.com has organized its operations into two principal segments: North America and International. The North America segment includes Websites, such as www.amazon.com, www.amazon.ca, www.shopbop.com and www.endless.com. The International segment includes www.amazon.co.uk, www.amazon.de, www.amazon.co.jp and www.amazon.fr. In June 2008, the Company announced the acquisition of Fabric.com, an online fabric store that offers custom measured and cut fabrics, as well as patterns, sewing tools and accessories.Good earnings growth. I have made several purchases from their site, and they have one of the most user-friendly and convenient marketplaces on the web. I get what I want on time and at competitive prices. They seem well positioned to profit from Internet shopping. This isn't a massive growth stock.Upside is that it is growing right through the recession. Nevertheless, this has to be a long-range investment. I plan to add to my investment in modest increments over a substantial period of time.

6. Molson Coors Brewing Company ( TAP ) 48.92 a share, target price 71.00
Molson Coors Brewing Company (MCBC) is a global brewer of beers. The Company’s subsidiaries include Molson Canada (Molson), Coors Brewing Company (CBC), Coors Brewers Limited (CBL), and other corporate entities. The segments of the Company include Canada, the United States and Europe. The brands sold in Canada include Coors Light, Molson Canadian, Molson Dry, Molson Export, Creemore Springs, Rickard's Red Ale, Carling and Pilsner. The brands sold in the United States include Coors Light, Coors, Coors Non-Alcoholic, Blue Moon Belgian White Ale and Blue Moon brands, George Killian's Irish Red? Lager, Keystone, Keystone Light, Keystone Ice and Zima.I'm not a drinker, but in times like these I'll make an exception. a case of 24 for $15 exception.Solid financials. Cash on hand. Great products. Cheap stock price.With recession on the horizon, this is a great hedge against it. With the overall market going down, TAP may go down too, but not nearly as much. Therefore, it will outperform. TAP pays a .20 Dividend.

7. Verizon Communications ( VZ ) 33.90 a share 1/1/2009 , target price 49.00.
Verizon Communications Inc. (Verizon) is engaged in providing communication services. The two segments of the Company are Wireline and Domestic Wireless. Wireline communications services include voice, Internet access, broadband video and data, next generation Internet protocol (IP) network services, network access, long distance and other services. The Company provides these services to consumers, carriers, businesses and government customers both domestically and internationally in 150 countries. Domestic Wireless’s products and services include wireless voice, data products and other services, and equipment sales across the United States. In March 2008, Verizon announced the completion of the spin-off of Northern New England Spinco Inc. In July 2008, MTN Group Limited acquired 100% of Verizon South Africa Ltd. In August 2008, Verizon announced that Verizon Wireless, a joint venture of the Company and Vodafone Group Plc, had completed its purchase of Rural Cellular Corporation.I just switched to FIOS so now VZ do all my telecom ( winches, ISP, TV) and it rocks! l don't see the cable co's keeping customers from switching .I like both T and VZ for their dividend; but I like VZ more for it's dividend. For now in tough times Utilities are king, VZ is set to continue giving steady returns.They pay a reasonable dividend and are a cash vacuum !

8. Johnson & Johnson ( JNJ ) 59.70 a share , target price 69.50
Johnson & Johnson is engaged in the research and development, manufacture and sale of a range of products in the healthcare field. Johnson & Johnson has more than 250 operating companies. The Company operates in three segments: Consumer, Pharmaceutical, and Medical Devices and Diagnostics. Sales of the Company's two largest products.Long term, solid company. A vast stable of staples, products that consumers will want and need to buy regardless of the recession/depression. It's hard to imagine any company as being recession-proof, but I think Johnson & Johnson comes very close to that wishful ideal. During the recession of 1992-1993, it lost about 20% of its value, but other companies lost much more. During the gloomy times of mid-2001 through 2003, it traded sideways while most other large-cap companies lost money. It currently has nice profit a 6.4 quarterly revenue growth with a 29.9% quarterly earnings growth. Very nice. Hopefully, that will continue. For a large cap, it also seems to have its debt load under control, something that will separate the strong from the weak in the coming months. To wit, JNJ's Debt/Equity ratio is 32%, and has a book value of $16.45/share, which is twice better than my internal yardstick of 1/7th that of its price (currently $58.70). While we wait for the stock to appreciate, the dividend yield will help us out a bit at its current 5-year average of 2.1% (hey, it's not great, but it's there!). Finally, very few people are going against this stock, as the short interest is extremely low at only 0.80% of the float (yep, less than 1% -- nice & stable). This would be a good place to park your money for the next 1-3 years.

9. Pfizer Inc ( PFE ) 17.71 a share 1/1/2009 , target price 24.00
Pfizer Inc. (Pfizer) is a research-based, global pharmaceutical company. The Company discovers, develops, manufactures and markets prescription medicines for humans and animals. It operates in two business segments: Pharmaceutical and Animal Health. The Company also operates several other businesses, including the manufacture of gelatin capsules, contract manufacturing and bulk pharmaceutical chemicals.PFE is a cash cow, easily a $25 stock and with a rally in the market, PFE is set to go higher.PFE will likely outperform the S&P 500 for the near future simply because the recession hurts others more than it hurts this company. Also the incoming Obama administration favors health care reform, which although could dampen some healthcare sector stocks, will not likely have much direct effect on R&D or capsule manufacturing. Although the cost of medicine is high in some cases, it is tiny when compared to all other medical costs as a whole. High medicine costs are usually pass-on costs but, Obama will likely encourage more R&D, and the government will favor this sector in subsidies. Baby boomers keep on retiring in ever growing numbers and they need medications… there is an ever growing demand for the products of the company over the long term, recession or not .

10. Google ( GOOG ) 307.00 A share 1/1/2009 , Target price 355.00
Google Inc. maintains an index of Websites and other online content, and makes this information freely available to anyone with an Internet connection. The Company’s automated search technology helps people obtain nearly instant access to relevant information from its online index. Google generates revenue primarily by delivering online advertising. Businesses use its AdWords program to promote their products and services with targeted advertising. In addition, the thousands of third-party Websites that comprise the Google Network use its AdSense program to deliver relevant ads that generate revenue and enhance the user experience.Long term play, good value, buying at a discount. Will rebound powerfully when the global economy improves in the coming years.Google is becoming the Top search and work engine in the world including in Peru South America. Besides the ever growing Pay Per Click business model, Google will eventually open up a Pay per call model (google both these items to learn about them). Pay Per Call is still a very lucrative industry and is expected to grow incredibly over the next five to ten years (google search will lead you to this information as well, as would yahoo or microsoft or whatever search you use, but i'm making a pseudo-subliminal point by saying 'google it'.)Beyond advertising, Google's dark horse will be cloud computing in my opinion. It will save companies thousands upon thousands of dollars in that they wont have to purchase on site storage of information, it is stored elsewhere. Computer security can also be cut back. Network administration can also be cut back. All this money that will be saved can now be thrown at various other optimizations (or just added to a bottom line). Cloud computing is Google's oft misunderstood, nary a mentioned monster. Its most recent deal with IBM will show this as a rapidly growing income stream. With Cloud computing, the bearish sentiment on the possible failures of online advertising will quickly have to brainstorm new critiques of what will become a vast lucrative market. What about Google's Android? It seems a fight may be brewing with Verizon and the FCC over definition of terms, but if the OS is as easy to ingest as google's website itself, I can only see upward motion in its future.

11. Altria ( MO ) 15.05 a share 1/1/2009 , target price 24.50
Altria Group, Inc. (ALG) is the holding company of Philip Morris USA Inc. (PM USA) and John Middleton, Inc., which are engaged in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes and other tobacco products. Philip Morris Capital Corporation (PMCC), another wholly owned subsidiary, maintains a portfolio of leveraged and direct finance leases. In addition, at December 31, 2007, ALG held a 28.6% economic and voting interest in SABMiller plc (SABMiller), which is engaged in the manufacture and sale of various beer products. The Company’s segments are U.S. tobacco; European Union; Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa; Asia; Latin America, and Financial Services. In March 2008, the Company completed the spin-off of Philip Morris International Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary. On December 11, 2007, ALG acquired 100% of John Middleton, Inc., a manufacturer of machine-made large cigar .Incredible dividend, controls majority of tobacco products in America, also has a stake in SABMiller. The only reason I don't have real money invested in this one is because the gov. is clamping down on smokers and will become even more strict in the future. With the way things are going, smoking could become illegal within 20 years. This is why I think PM is a better growth play because it focuses on countries whose govs don't mind if their citizens smoke themselves to death (i.e. China, South Korea, Japan, Russia, etc). In the near term the stock will outperform the market, but in the long term its performance will depend on how healthy or unhealthy Americans choose to live and gov regulations. I forecast a diminishing number of Americans choosing to pick up this bad habit in the long term .Great company, great management, great lawyers, great dividend. Only problem is they sell a product people have a strong opinion on. Will be a strong performer for years to come .. Many people will miss this one just because it is a sin stock. However, when times get hard to is a proven fact that PEOPLE smoke consume more alcohol, Even people that have stopped for long periods start back to smoking. It is one of those things that take your mind off of the here and now for 6 minutes. After the 9-11 devastation, their sales went up.

What are your thoughts on the 2009 top stock picks ??