#MadMoneyFund top 2015 Wall Street stock picks

Elon Musk has lost more than $1 billion on his Tesla holdings alone in the last month. But the inspiration for Hollywood's "Iron Man" may be a lot happier next year, if Wall Street analysts are right.
Tesla shares are due for a 30 percent comeback in the next 12 months based on the average analyst price target of $269.25 compiled by FactSet. Only Wynn Resorts shares are due for a bigger rally among stocks in the Nasdaq 100 index, according to FactSet.

Tesla shares should top Google, Netflix, Apple and Priceline in 2015, according to the data.


Elon Musk has lost more than $1 billion on his Tesla holdings alone in the last month. But the inspiration for Hollywood's "Iron Man" may be a lot happier next year, if Wall Street analysts are right.
Tesla shares are due for a 30 percent comeback in the next 12 months based on the average analyst price target of $269.25 compiled by FactSet. Only Wynn Resorts shares are due for a bigger rally among stocks in the Nasdaq 100 index, according to FactSet.

Tesla shares should top Google, Netflix, Apple and Priceline in 2015, according to the data.

As the price of oil has collapsed since November, so have shares of Tesla as investors bet gas guzzlers will be back in style with lower gasoline prices. However, analysts are sticking by their bullish price targets for Tesla, seeing the electric car company as a high-end technology story and not an alternative energy story.

Five analysts have reiterated their price targets for Tesla this month, among them Pacific Crest's Brad Erickson on Thursday, who sees a 48 percent rally in the shares to $316 over the next 12 months.

"While TSLA is a momentum stock, investors have been baking in that lower oil prices will be certain to reduce demand for electric vehicles, regardless of pricing," Erickson wrote in the report. "The market is being predictably irrational, and this has created a much better entry point in TSLA."


Tesla shares actually topped $290 in September before oil's drop turned into a crash, so analysts believe they can certainly get there again as the price of oil stabilizes in 2015.

"The way I look at Tesla in my bullish view stems from the disruptive nature of their technology," Carter Driscoll of MLV, a New York-based investment bank, said in a phone interview. Driscoll still sees Tesla rising to $300 over the next 12 months, according to FactSet.

Since oil's slide accelerated a month ago, Tesla has been the second-worst performer in the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index, falling 17 percent, according to Kensho, a quantitative tool used by hedge funds (Wynn Resorts was the worst performer).

Tesla has never had a relationship with oil before this past month. With "1" equaling a mirror image with oil and "0" equaling no discernible trend whatsoever, Tesla shares have a 0.12 correlation with crude over the past two years, according to Kensho.


Musk owns 28.3 million shares of the company he co-founded, according to filings, giving his stake a value of about $6 billion based on Thursday's stock price. A month ago, his stake was worth more than $7.2 billion. "Iron Man" director Jon Favreau told Time magazine four years ago that Musk was the inspiration for the lead character in the film because of his creation of Tesla as well as solar company SolarCity and space explorer SpaceX.

"The stock has a very strong retail (trading) base so it can be volatile on a day-to-day basis," Driscoll said. "I don't think anything has changed. It's just become more attractive on a valuation basis."

Pacific Crest said valuation is "much more reasonable given growth" and, discounting risks, has reiterated its "outperform" rating and $316 price target on the stock.

Read MoreAn energy source NOT threatened by falling oil

The note added that Tesla is growing more than 12 times faster than its peer group, which includes Amazon and Apple, but is only trading with an enterprise value of 2.6 times its 2016 revenue.

Pacific Crest believes revenue of $11 billion to $12 billion in 2016 is well within Tesla's reach.
The stock trades at nine times sales, near its lowest valuation on that basis over the past five years, according to FactSet.

Along with the drop in oil, a delay in the introduction of its new Model X vehicle made for a perfect storm of negative news for the stock in the last month. Musk announced the delay with the company's third-quarter earnings report last month. But the Model X is still coming and it will still turn heads in 2015 like Apple and GoPro do with their new product releases, the Pacific Crest analyst wrote in his note.

These stocks (Apple, GoPro) hit highs every time a new product was announced, and Pacific Crest expects the Model X to launch sometime in the third quarter of 2015, giving ample time for Tesla stock to rise into that release.

Don't wait too long, the report said. "Tesla will sell everything it makes, for a very long time."

Stifel Nicolaus, which has the highest price target on Wall Street at $400, said pushing the Model X introduction out to 2015 was "most prudent" on Musk's part as there's no rush with no real pure electric luxury carmakers out there.
As the price of oil has collapsed since November, so have shares of Tesla as investors bet gas guzzlers will be back in style with lower gasoline prices. However, analysts are sticking by their bullish price targets for Tesla, seeing the electric car company as a high-end technology story and not an alternative energy story.

Best 2014 Stocks to buy & own for Long Term Play #2014stocks $NIHD $JCP $CREE $DNKN $SIRI $GLUU

Glu Mobile Inc. (GLUU) Target Price $6 a share
is a top mobile gaming stock to buy at Cowen and Company for 2014. The company releases its video games internationally via multiple platforms, including iOS, Android, Amazon, Windows Phone and Google Chrome. Embodying the "freemium" model, games created by Glu are typically free to play. Glu generates revenue through in-game micro-transactions consisting of $1.99 or less. The Cowen price target for the stock is $6 and is the highest on Wall Street. The consensus target is posted at $4. Glu Mobile closed Thursday at $3.76. So a move to the Cowen target would represent a 40% gain for investors.

Sirius XM Radio Inc. (SIRI) Target Price $7 a share
continues to draw new subscribers with its programming, and it is also a top stock to buy at Merrill Lynch for 2014. Despite challenges from other companies offering audio programming, Sirius XM has continued to be a strong player despite the fact that the stock has the highest short interest on Wall Street. Merrill Lynch has a $5 target, and the consensus target stands at $7. The stocks closed Thursday at $3.59

Dunkin' Brands (NASDAQ: DNKN ) Target Price $55 a share
is one of Starbucks' largest competitors, and it too has had an impressive run in 2013. In Dunkin's most recent quarter, earnings grew 10.8% and revenue rose 8.5% year-over-year, as it was able to expand its operating margin an incredible 310 basis points to 44.1%.
Dunkin's stock has outperformed the market right alongside Starbucks' stock in 2013, rising about 42.71% as of the close on Dec. 27. Dunkin' expects full-year earnings to increase 17.2%-19.5% and revenue to grow 6%-8% year-over-year and I believe it could have an even better 2014. The outperformance of both Starbucks and Dunkin' shows the strength of the industry and both companies have expansion plans in place to take full advantage of this. Dunkin' is my second favorite play in the industry, so investors should take a close look at this one if they are not sold on Starbucks.

Cree Inc. (CREE) Target Price $80 a share
is a leader in the manufacture of light-emitting diodes, or LEDs. These energy-sipping bulbs, which require up to 85% less power than traditional bulbs and can last up to 25 times longer than traditional bulbs, are gaining popularity. Only about 3% of the U.S. population currently uses them, but government price subsidies are making them more popular and affordable.Cree, Inc. (Cree) develops and manufactures semiconductor materials and devices primarily based on silicon carbide (SiC), gallium nitride (GaN) and related compounds. It focuses its expertise in SiC and GaN on light emitting diode (LED) products. It develops lighting-class light emitting diode (LED) products, lighting products and semiconductor products for power and radio-frequency (RF) applications. The Company's lighting products consist of both LED and traditional lighting systems. The Company designs, manufactures and sells lighting systems for indoor and outdoor applications, with a primary focus on LED lighting systems for the commercial and industrial markets. In addition, the Company develops, manufactures and sells power and RF devices. The Company operates in three segments: LED Products, Lighting Products and Power and RF Products. In August 2011, the Company acquired Ruud Lighting, Inc. Cree is also stepping into the solar-power industry. That should help light up sales and profits for years to come and justifies the stock’s rich price, which amounts to 34 times estimated earnings.


J.C. Penney Company, Inc. (NYSE:JCP) Target Price $19 a share
J. C. Penney Company, Inc. is a holding company whose principal operating subsidiary is J. C. Penney Corporation, Inc. (JCP). The Company’s business consists of selling merchandise and services to consumers through its department stores and through its Internet Website at jcp.com. As of February 2, 2013, the Company operated 1,104 department stores throughout the continental United States, Alaska and Puerto Rico, of which 429 were owned, including 123 stores located on ground leases. It sells family apparel and footwear, accessories, fine and fashion jewelry, beauty products through Sephora inside jcpenney and home furnishings. In addition, the Company’s department stores provide its customers with services such as styling salon, optical, portrait photography and custom decorating.JC Penney are all fine examples of companies ...choice to be the biggest stock percentage mover in 2014. Volatility continues to be name of the game here with sales growth still an issue, tight liquidity, a possible CEO change, and valuation challenges. Sterne Agee has Penney as a Buy-rated stock with an upside potential of 13% and a price target of $19.00. The stock’s P/E ratio for 2014 is negative and the earnings per share (EPS) estimate is expected to be down by 62% after rising 70% in 2013. As the analysts say, “Buckle Up!” So how do you know which stocks are “buy and hold .

NII Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:NIHD) Target Price $5 a share
NII Holdings, Inc. (NII Holdings) is a holding company for the operations of Nextel Communications, Inc. in selected International markets. The Company provides wireless communication services under the Nextel brand. It provides its services through operating companies located in Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Peru and Chile, with its principal operations located in business centers and related transportation corridors of these countries. The Company’s networks utilize integrated digital enhanced network, or iDEN, technology developed by Motorola, Inc. to provide its mobile services on its 800 mega hertz spectrum holdings in all of its markets.It agreed to sell approximately 2,790 cell towers in Brazil and another 1,666 towers in Mexico in an $811 million transaction. It will lease them back. It still needs them. But the amount of money raised will provide some welcome liquidity for NII Holdings.NII Holdings also sold its Peruvian operations in a deal for more than $410 million.
The stock took a hit last year after posting declines in wireless customers, but it's gaining ground again. It closed out its latest quarter with 9.9 million subscribers, 100,000 more than it had a year earlier.
Things aren't perfect. The average revenue per user has fallen as NII Holdings kicks in with retention efforts to keep customers around. The mobile provider is also losing a lot of money, and that's not good for a highly leveraged company. The $1.2 billion raised in the two deals equals NII Holdings' market cap, but its enterprise value is north of $5 billion given the substantial debt levels.
However, the welcome liquidity and the long-term prospects for wireless services through Latin America make NII Holdings a risky play with some serious potential upside
In August 2013, NII Holdings Inc announced it has completed sale of its Peruvian operations to Empresa Nacional De Telecomunicaciones SA. In November2013, NII Holdings, Inc sold 1,483 communications sites in Mexico to American Tower Corporation.

Stocks are cheap ? Buy Now or in 2011 ?

With the market down three weeks in a row, investors are understandably grim. But there is a silver lining: Stocks are looking almost as cheap as last year when prices hit 12-year lows -- at least according to Wall Street analysts.




It was easy to miss the development amid news of falling home sales, a drooping dollar and sluggish orders for big-ticket goods. But stocks in the Standard & Poor's 500 index now trade at just 11.7 times analyst estimates of operating earnings for the coming year. That is one of the lowest -- read cheapest -- levels for this key figure.



In fact, this so-called price-earnings multiple is roughly back where it stood at the end of March 2009 just as the market was starting an 80 percent surge.



A lot of investors are kicking themselves for having missed that run-up. The question now: Should they jump in now to not to miss another?



Though it's a rough measure of a stock's value, the earnings multiple holds a certain logic. Before buying the corner pizzeria, you would want to know how many years it would take selling pies and sodas to earn your money back. You can do that by dividing the price you'd have to pay for the business by the profit it generates over a year.



So too with stocks. The earnings multiple divides stock prices by annual earnings to tell you, in a sense, the number of years it might take to be made whole on your investment. The nearly 12 years that analysts say it would take if you bought stocks now compares with an average of maybe 15 over the past two decades.Mini Kegerator Refrigerator & Draft Beer Dispenser - EdgeStar



But the faster clip assumes actual profits won't fall short of the projected ones, and some longtime market observers are worried about that.



"Some analysts are projecting earnings will hit an all-time high in a year," says Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at Standard & Poor's. "That would be nice but I wouldn't bet on it."



History suggests he's right to be skeptical.
Mad Money Fund


An April study by McKinsey & Co. of analyst projections over 25 years showed they are almost always too optimistic. On average, analysts estimated that profits would grow at 10 percent to 12 percent annually -- almost twice as much as they actually did.



The two periods when analysts lowballed profit growth were in the early '90s and early '00s when the U.S. was coming out of recession as it is today.



Mason Hawkins, CEO of Southeastern Asset Management, has trounced the market by buying stocks when others are selling, and he's been buying lately. His flagship Longleaf Partners Fund returned 4.9 percent annually in the past ten years versus a 1.6 percent decline in the S&P 500.



To get a sense of whether stocks are cheap, the 62-year-old Hawkins looks at how much of your investment you get back in earnings in a year. Based on analyst estimates, if you bought every Dow stock at Friday's 10,150.65 close, you'd get 11 percent back. Though you're not actually pocketing any cash, that's still a big return. After all, some relatively safe investment-grade corporate bonds are throwing off annual interest of 5.3 percent what you pay for them now. That means you'd get nearly six extra percentage points by holding stocks. Since 1932, the difference in yields between bonds and stocks following big drops in the stock market has been 2.8 percent, Hawkins says.



Translation: You're getting rewarded for the extra risk of investing in stocks.



The catch is that the analysts may be wrong. Despite the onslaught of negative economic news this summer, they have barely reduced their estimates. The current forecast for the S&P 500 is an increase of 46 percent this year, then 14 percent on top of that in 2011. Such jumps would mean profits rising above their all-time high in 2006 during the boom.



Not surprisingly, analysts are equally bullish on individual stocks. There are 9,936 analyst recommendations on stocks in the S&P. More than half, or 5,277, are recommendations to buy the stocks, according to Thomson Reuters.



There are just 508 recommendations to sell.



Of course, you can forget what analysts say and compare stock prices to what companies have actually earned.



A widely respected measure, championed by Yale economist Robert Shiller, is a cyclically adjusted earnings multiple. This multiple recognizes that any one year's earnings may be higher or lower than usual because of the economy, and so it averages them over ten years.



Alas, this paints a darker picture. S&P 500 stocks are trading at 20 times cyclical earnings versus an average 16 going back a century. To get to that average, stocks would have fall another 15 percent.

Buy now on the dips down and hold for a long term play .............

Top 50 stocks to buy in 2009 & 2010 & 2011

Gentex (GNTX, news, msgs) and other auto parts suppliers are transforming the rearview mirror from a low-tech assemblage of plastic and glass to a sophisticated electronic module that automakers use to introduce safety and communications features to their vehicles.


Diversify your portfolio
Gentex's specialty is a rearview mirror that uses electricity to automatically dim the headlight glare from trailing vehicles. It also has mirror devices that display the temperature, hold microphones that permit hands-free cell phone conversations, open your garage door and turn on your home's lights.

The Zeeland, Mich., company is a leader in the drive to incorporate cameras into automotive mirrors. It has a system that links a rear-mounted camera to a video monitor embedded in the rearview mirror that gives drivers a better view of what's behind them as they back up. The company's cameras can distinguish between red and white lights, and between streetlamps and the lights of oncoming vehicles.

The 35-year-old company's focus on innovation was cited by Wells Fargo on Oct. 16 as it raised its rating on Gentex to "outperform" from "market perform." Analyst Richard M. Kwas said the stock was attractive "given earnings growth prospects." Kwas raised his earnings estimates for 2009 and 2010, saying he expects production to rise as the company's SmartBeam and rear camera mirror systems push into new markets.

Today's upgrades and downgrades

Gentex appears on a monthly list of stocks created with MSN Money's StockScouter tool, which since 2001 has helped investors assess individual stocks' likelihood of outperforming the broad market.

Investment research firm Gradient Analytics uses StockScouter to create daily and monthly stock lists. MSN Money columnist Jon Markman collaborated with the company to devise strategies for putting the tool to work.

One of Markman's strategies involves investing an equal amount of money in each of the stocks in the computer-generated portfolio at the start of the month, selling them at the end of the month, then beginning the process again the next month. For investors who prefer to handle fewer stocks, Markman recommends using the strategy with the top 10 stocks on the list. An investor who followed Markman's 10-stock strategy since it was launched would have realized a gain of 455% through Oct. 31, according to Gradient Analytics, and had an annual average return of 22.9%. Over the same period, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) was down 14.4%.
Coach rolls out China strategy
Coach (COH, news, msgs) is also on the November list. The designer and marketer of handbags and fashion accessories is touting early success with its lower-priced Poppy collection, introduced in July to stem the slide in same-store sales and lure younger shoppers.

The New York company is also bullish about prospects in mainland China, where it's set to open its first store next spring, in Shanghai. Coach already has stores in Hong Kong and Macau.

Coach hopes its aggressive expansion in China will replicate the success it's had in Japan, which accounts for about 40% of the global handbag market. Coach sees the Chinese market for luxury handbags and accessories more than doubling, to $2.5 billion, by 2013.

"We're squarely focused on the abundant growth opportunities available to us as we begin to emerge from this downturn," CEO Lew Frankfort told investors and analysts last month during a conference call to analyze fiscal-first-quarter financial results.

Video: Coach's mixed bag

The downturn knocked demand for apparel and accessories back to 2005 levels, said Standard & Poor's Equity Research analyst Marie Driscoll in an Oct. 23 note to clients. She also said Coach should benefit from the resulting "shakeout of extraneous brands."

Jefferies on Oct. 30 raised its rating on Coach to "buy" from "hold," citing valuation and saying that "sales trends are about to accelerate" as consumers return to the malls and department stores restock depleted inventories. The investment bank raised its target price on the stock by $2 to $40. "We believe shares deserve a premium given stronger global-growth prospects, industry-leading returns and a strong management team," Jefferies said in its research report.
Tenaris (TS, news, msgs) is entering the "sweet spot of its cycle," according to Goldman Sachs, which on Oct. 20 added the world's biggest manufacturer of steel pipes for the energy industry to its "conviction buy" list, upgrading the stock to "buy" from "neutral" in the process.


Diversify your portfolio
Potential catalysts include a recovery in European sales, Goldman said, as well as a spike in prices for the welded steel tubular products used in pipeline construction. Tenaris dominates the high-end market for OCTG (oil country tubular products) required by companies that gather, transport and process oil and natural gas, Goldman noted.

Tenaris, headquartered in Luxembourg, should benefit from increased exploration and production activity if oil prices rise next year, as expected, Deutsche Bank analyst Marcus Sequeira said last month in raising his earnings estimates for the company to $41 per share from $30. The analyst also raised his 2010 oil price forecast by $10 a barrel to $65.

Crude oil prices have been rising over concerns about the weakening dollar. But skeptics say the energy market fundamentals remain weak and that crude's gains could evaporate.

Video: 3 drillers worth a look

The outlook for natural-gas prices remains bearish, as producers keep producing despite falling prices, Credit Suisse analyst Jonathan Wolff wrote on Oct. 7 as he slashed his natural-gas price forecasts for 2009 and 2010.

"We see an industry that has the desire, near-term liquidity and capital-market access to pursue volume growth," the analyst said
In deep
Noble Energy (NBL, news, msgs) cited weak energy prices in posting third-quarter earnings that were down 89% from the same period last year.

Longer term, though, cheap natural gas could help Noble and other producers by hastening a switch to gas from coal for electric power generation. Finding a way to boost the role of natural gas is a big part of the skirmishing over climate legislation under consideration in the Senate.

Noble, headquartered in Houston, has oil and gas operations in the Gulf of Mexico, the Rocky Mountain region, West Africa, China, Israel, the North Sea and elsewhere.

Analyst Leo Mariani at RBC Capital Markets said Noble shares should rise as the company sheds natural-gas properties and shifts its investments to crude oil. Mariani upgraded the stock to "outperform" from "sector perform" on Oct. 26 and raised his price target by $5 to $90.

"Noble's best economics are in deepwater Gulf of Mexico, West Africa and Israel regions, and we expect it to devote most of its capital to these crude-weighted regions," Mariani wrote. The analyst expects crude to account for 41% of Noble's production this year and rise to 60% by 2013.

Whiting USA Trust I (WHX, news, msgs)
Oil and natural gas
$17.19
9

Alpha Pro Tech (APT, news, msgs)
Medical equipment
$5.99
10

Kayne Anderson Energy Development (KED, news, msgs)
Energy investments
$12.49
8

Golden Enterprises (GLDC, news, msgs)
Salted snacks
$3.70
8

Pioneer Southwest Energy Partners (PSE, news, msgs)
Oil and gas drilling
$21.20
8

Edenor (EDN, news, msgs)
Electricity distribution
$7.91
8

Tenaris (TS, news, msgs)
Steel pipe
$35.62
10

Genesco (GCO, news, msgs)
Apparel retail
$26.07
8

BP (BP, news, msgs)
Oil and natural gas
$56.62
10

Liberty Bancorp (LBCP, news, msgs)
Community banking
$7.85
10

Tortoise North American Energy (TYN, news, msgs)
Energy investments
$19.25
9

MV Oil Trust (MVO, news, msgs)
Oil and gas drilling
$18.83
9

Global Partners (GLP, news, msgs)
Petroleum products
$24.70
9

Intergroup (INTG, news, msgs)
Property management
$11.40
9

Toyota Motor (TM, news, msgs)
Automobiles
$78.89
9

Golden Pond Healthcare (GPH, news, msgs)
Investments
$7.88
9

China Holdings Acquisition (HOL, news, msgs)
Investments
$9.66
9

Enbridge Energy Management (EEQ, news, msgs)
Oil and natural gas
$46.43
8

FEMSA (FMX, news, msgs)
Soft drinks, beer
$43.31
8

Energen (EGN, news, msgs)
Oil and natural gas
$43.88
10

America Movil (AMX, news, msgs)
Telecommunications
$44.13
10

Suburban Propane Partners (SPH, news, msgs)
Fuels
$43.02
10

Noble Energy (NBL, news, msgs)
Oil and natural gas
$65.63
10

Schlumberger (SLB, news, msgs)
Oilfield services
$62.20
10

Saneamento Basico Est Sao Paulo (SBS, news, msgs)
Utilities
$38.52
10

XTO Energy (XTO, news, msgs)
Natural gas
$41.56
10

EOG Resources (EOG, news, msgs)
Natural gas
$81.66
10

Gentex (GNTX, news, msgs)
Auto parts
$16.01
10

Inergy Holdings (NRGP, news, msgs)
Propane
$$49.38
10

USANA Health Sciences (USNA, news, msgs)
Nutritional supplements
$28.82
10

Pengrowth Energy Trust (PGH, news, msgs)
Oil and gas drilling
$9.20
10

Steven Madden (SHOO, news, msgs)
Shoes
$40.50
10

Technology Research (TRCI, news, msgs)
Electrical safety
$3.60
10

Ensco International (ESV, news, msgs)
Oil and gas drilling
$45.79
10

Pride International (PDE, news, msgs)
Oil and gas drilling
$29.56
10

Coach (COH, news, msgs)
Handbags, accessories
$32.97
10

Mirant (MIR, news, msgs)
Electric utilities
$13.98
10

Talisman Energy (TLM, news, msgs)
Oil and natural gas
$16.97
10

Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ, news, msgs)
Oil and natural gas
$64.67
10

Legacy Reserves (LGCY, news, msgs)
Oil and natural gas
$16.12
10

Deckers Outdoor (DECK, news, msgs)
Footwear
$89.67
10

Holly (HOC, news, msgs)
Oil refining and marketing
$29.01
10

Transglobe Energy (TGA, news, msgs)
Oil and natural gas
$3.80
10

DTE Energy (DTE, news, msgs)
Electric utilities
$36.98
9

AGL Resources (AGL, news, msgs)
Natural-gas distribution
$34.96
9

American Electric Power (AEP, news, msgs)
Electric utilities
$30.22
9

El Paso Electric (EE, news, msgs)
Electric utilities
$18.75
9

Chevron (CVX, news, msgs)
Oil and natural gas
$76.54
9

Edison International (EIX, news, msgs)
Electric utilities
$31.82
9

NiSource (NI, news, msgs)
Natural gas, electricity
$12.92
9



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